List of selected references, which inspired my work or simply which I like:

 Atmosphere instability and indices:

Xu, K.-M. and a. K. A. Emanuel, 1989. Is the tropical atmosphere conditionally unstable?, Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 1471-1479. 

Morgan, G. M. Jr, 1992. ThetaPlot, an Equivalent Potential Temperature Diagram, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 47, 259-265. 

Emanuel, K. A., 1994. Atmospheric Convection, Oxford University Press, New York, 580 pp. 

Huntrieser, H., Schiesser, H. H., Schmid, W. and Waldvogel, A., 1997. Comparison of Traditional and Newly Developed Thunderstorm Indices for Switzerland, Wea. Forecasting 12, 108-125. 

Rasmussen, E. N. and D. O. Blanchard, 1998. A baseline climatology of sounding derived supercell and tornado forecast parameters, Wea. Forecasting, 13, 1148-1164. 

Bohren, C.F., and B.A. Albrecht, 1998. Atmospheric Thermodynamics, Oxford University Press, 402 pp. 

Bryan, G., and J. M. Fritsch, 2000. Moist Absolute Instability: The Sixth Static Stability State, Bull. AMS, 81, 1207-1230 

Haklander, A. J., and A. van Delden, 2003. Thunderstorm predictors and their forecast skill for the Netherlands, Atmos. Res., 67-68, 273-299. 
 
 

 Non-linear Forecast Methods:

Breiman, L., 1996. Bagging predictors, Machine Learning 24, 123-140. 

Freund, Y., and Schapire, R., 1996. Experiments with a new boosting algorithm, Proc. of the Thirteenth International Conference on Machine Learning, Bari (I), 148-156. 

Mojirsheibani, M., 1999. Combining classifiers via discretization., Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94, 600-609. 

Zorita, E., von Storch, H., 1999. The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: comparison with more complicated methods, J. Climate, 12, 82474-2489. 

Duda, R. O., Hart, P. E., and D. G. Stork, 2000. Pattern Classification., 2th ed. J. Wiley & Sons, 680 pp. 

Navone, H.D., Verdes, P.F., Granitto, P.M., and Ceccatto, H.A., 2000. A new algorithm for selecting diverse members of neural network ensembles, Proc. of the VI International Congress on Information Engineering, University of Buenos Aires. 

Marzban, C., and A. Witt, 2001. A Bayesian Neural Network for Hail Size Prediction, Wea. Forecasting, 16, 600-610. 

Huth, R., 2002. Statistical downscaling of daily temperature in central Europe, J. Climate, 15, 1731-1742. 

Burrows, W. R., C. Price, and L. J. Wilson, 2005. Warm season lightning probability prediction for Canada and the northern United States, Wea. Forecasting, 20, 971-988. 

Wilks, D. S., T. M. Hamill, 2007. Comparison of Ensemble-MOS Methods Using GFS Reforecasts, Mon. Weather Rev., 135, 2379-2390. 

 Forecast Verification:

Peirce, C. S., 1884. The numerical measure of the success of predictions, Science, 4, 453-454. 

Green, D. M., and, J. A. Swets, 1966. Signal Detection Theory and Psychophysics, J. Wiley & Sons, 455 pp. (reprinted by R. E. Krieger Publishing Co., 1974.) 

Woodcock, F., 1976. The evaluation of YES/NO forecast for scientific and administrative purposes, Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1209-1214. 

Mason, I. B., 1979. On reducing the probability forecast to YES/NO forecast, Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 207-211. 

Gandin, L. S., and A. H. Murphy, 1992. Equitable skill scores for categorical forecasts, Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 361-370. 

Stephenson, D. B., 2000. Use of the odds ratio for diagnosing forecast skill, Wea. Forecasting, 15, 221-232. 

Jolliffe, I. T. and Stephenson, D. B., 2003. Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, J. Wiley & Sons, 240 pp. 

Marzban, C., 2004. The ROC Curve and the Area Under it as a Performance Measure, Wea. Forecasting, 19, 1106-1114. 

Zhang, J., and S. T. Mueller, 2005. A note on ROC analysis and non-parametric estimate of sensitivity, Psychometrika, 70, 145-154. 

Semazzi, F. H. M., Mera, R. J., 2006. An extended procedure for implementing the relative operating characteristic graphical method, J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 45, 1215-1223. 
 
 

 Miscellanea:

Bayes, rev. T., 1763. An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances., Philosophical Trans. of the Royal Soc., 53, 370-418. 

Lorenz, E.N., 1963. Deterministic nonperiodic flow, J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-141. 

Palmer, T., 2005. Quantum reality, complex numbers, and the meteorological butterfly effect, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 86, 519-530. 

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Tino © August 2007