Agostino Manzato publication list

List of recent publications:

Corresponding author:

18) Manzato, A., Cicogna, A., Centore, M., Battistutta, P., and M. Trevisan, 2022:
Hailstone characteristics in NE Italy from 29 years of hailpad data,
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 61, 1779-1795, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0251.1

17) Manzato, A., Serafin, S., Miglietta, M. M., Kirshbaum, D., and W. Schulz, 2022:
A pan-Alpine climatology of lightning and convective initiation,
Monthly Weather Review, 150, 2213-2230, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0149.1

16) Manzato, A, Riva, V, Tiesi, A, Miglietta, M. M., 2020:
Observational analysis and simulations of a severe hailstorm in northeastern Italy,
Quarterly Journal of RMS, 146, 3587-3611, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3886.

15) Manzato, A., A. Pucillo and A. Cicogna, 2019:
Improving ECMWF-based 6-hours maximum rain using instability indices and neural networks,
Atmospheric Research, 217, 184-197.

14) Manzato, A., and Ian T. Jolliffe, 2017:
Behaviour of verification measures for deterministic binary forecasts with respect to random changes and thresholding,
Quarterly Journal of RMS, 143 (705), 1903-1915, doi:10.1002/qj.3050.

13) Manzato, A., Cicogna, A. and A. Pucillo, 2016:
6-hour maximum rain in Friuli Venezia Giulia: Climatology and ECMWF-based forecasts,
Atmospheric Research, 169 B, 465-484.

12) Manzato, A., Davolio, S., Miglietta, M. M., Pucillo, A., and M. Setvák, 2015:
12 September 2012: A supercell outbreak in NE Italy?,
Atmos. Res., 153, 98-118.

11) Feudale, L. and A. Manzato, 2014:
Cloud–to–Ground Lightning Distribution and its Relationship with Orography and anthropogenic emissions in the Po Valley,
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53, 2651-2670.

10) Manzato, A., 2013:
Hail in NE Italy: A neural network ensemble forecast using sounding–derived indices,
Weather and Forecasting, 28, 3-28.

9) Manzato, A., 2012:
Hail in NE Italy: Climatology and bivariate analysis with the sounding--derived indices,
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 51, 449-467.

8) Manzato, A., 2008:
A Verification of Numerical Model Forecasts for Sounding-Derived Indices above Udine, NE Italy,
Weather and Forecasting, 23, n3, 477-495. (draft PDF version, 2MB!)

7) Manzato, A., 2007:
A Note on the Maximum Peirce Skill Score,
Weather and Forecasting, 22, n5, 1148-1154.

6) Manzato, A., 2007:
Sounding-Derived Indices for Neural Network Based Short-Term Thunderstorm and Rainfall Forecasts,
Atmos. Res. ECSS 2004 special issue, 83, 349-365. (draft PDF version)

5) Manzato, A., 2007:
The 6 Hours Climatology of Thunderstorms and Rainfalls in the Friuli Venezia Giulia Plain,
Atmos. Res. ECSS 2004 special issue, 83, 336-348. (draft PDF version)

4) Manzato, A., 2005:
An odds ratio parameterization for ROC diagram and skill score indices,
Weather and Forecasting, 20, n6, 918-930.

3) Manzato, A., 2005:
The use of sounding derived indices for a neural network short-term thunderstorm forecast,
Weather and Forecasting, 20, n6, 896-917.

2) Manzato, A., 2003:
A climatology of instability indices derived from Friuli Venezia Giulia soundings, using three different methods,
Atmos. Res., 67-68, 417-454.

1) Manzato, A. and G. M. Morgan, 2003:
Evaluating the sounding instability with the Lifted Parcel Theory,
Atmos. Res., 67-68, 455-473.
Warning: this paper has the following ERRATA CORRIGE

Not lead authored:

Kopp, J., Manzato, A., Hering, A., Germann, U., and O. Martius, 2023:
How observations from automatic hail sensors in Switzerland shed light on local hailfall duration and compare with hailpad measurements ,
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 16, 3487–3503, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-16-3487-2023

Torralba, V., R. Hénin, A. Cantelli, E. Scoccimarro, S. Materia, A. Manzato, and S. Gualdi, 2023:
Modelling hail hazard over Italy with ERA5 large-scale variables ,
Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, 100535, DOI:10.1016/j.wace.2022.100535

Yano, J.I., and A. Manzato: 2022.
Does More Moisture in the Atmosphere Lead to More Intense Rains? ,
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79, 663-681, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0117.1

Yano, J.I., and A. Manzato: 2021.
“Moisture control” of the precipitation: a probabilistic perspective,
chapter 19 in Elsevier book: "Precipitation Science", https://www.sciencedirect.com/book/9780128229736/precipitation-science, Pages 615-634, https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-822973-6.00018-4

Yano, J.I., M.H.P. Ambaum, H.F. Dacre and A. Manzato, 2020:
A dynamical-system description of precipitation over the tropics and the midlatitudes,
Tellus A, 72 (1), 1-17, https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2020.1847939

Pucillo, A., Miglietta, M.M., Lombardo, K., and A. Manzato, 2020:
Application of a simple analytical model to severe winds produced by a bow echo like storm in northeast Italy,
Meteorol. Appl., 18pp, 27:e1868, https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1868

Martius, O., A. Hering, M. Kunz, A. Manzato, S. Mohr, L. Nisi, and S. Trefalt, 2018:
Challenges and recent Advances in Hail Research - A report from the 2nd European Hail Workshop,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, ES51–ES54, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0207.1.

Ukkonen, P., A. Manzato, and A. Makela, 2017:
Evaluation of thunderstorm predictors for Finland using reanalyses and neural networks,
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 56, 2335-2352.

Miglietta, M.M., Manzato, A., and R. Rotunno, 2016:
Characteristics and Predictability of a Supercell during HyMeX SOP1: Characteristics and Predictability of a Supercell during HyMeX SOP1,
Quarterly Journal of RMS, 142, 2839-2853.

Mecikalski, J.R., Rosenfeld, D. and A. Manzato , 2016:
Evaluation of Geostationary Satellite Observations and the Development of a 1-2 hour Prediction Model for Future Storm Intensity: Forecasting Storm Intensity,
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 121, 6374-6392.

Davolio, S., Volonté, A., Manzato, A., Pucillo, A., Cicogna, A. and M. E. Ferrario, 2016:
Mechanisms producing different precipitation patterns over north-eastern Italy: insights from HyMeX-SOP1 and previous events,
Quarterly Journal of RMS, 142, 188-205.

Davolio S., R. Ferretti, L. Baldini, M. Casaioli, D. Cimini, M. E. Ferrario, S. Gentile, N. Loglisci, I. Maiello, A. Manzato, S. Mariani, C. Marsigli, F. S. Marzano, M. M. Miglietta, A. Montani, G. Panegrossi, F. Pasi, E. Pichelli, A. Pucillo, A. Zinzi, 2015:
The role of the Italian scientific community in the first HyMeX SOP: an outstanding multidisciplinary experience,
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 7 pp, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2014/0624.

Ferretti, R., Pichelli, E., Gentile, S., Maiello, I., Cimini, D., Davolio, S., Miglietta, M. M., Panegrossi, G., Baldini, L., Pasi, F., Marzano, F. S., Zinzi, A., Mariani, S., Casaioli, M., Bartolini, G., Loglisci, N., Montani, A., Marsigli, C., Manzato, A., Pucillo, A., Ferrario, M. E., Colaiuda, V., and Rotunno, R., 2014:
Overview of the first HyMeX Special Observation Period over Italy: observations and model results,
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1953-1977, doi:10.5194/hess-18-1953-2014.

Feudale, L., A. Manzato and S. Micheletti 2013:
A Cloud–to–Ground Lightning Climatology for North–Eastern Italy,
Advances in Science and Research, 10, 77-84.

A. Pucillo and A. Manzato, 2013:
Usefulness and skill of station-derived predictors in the forecasting storm occurrence and intensity,
Atmos. Res., 123, 31-47.

Antonelli, P., Manzato, A., Puca, S. and F. Zauli, 2011: Evaluating atmospheric instability from high spectral resolution IR satellite observations,
Eumetsat Technical Report PA/IIS/FR/2010/01, available at http://www.eumetsat.int/website/home/Satellites/FutureSatellites/MeteosatThirdGeneration/MTGResources/index.html

M. Bertato, D. Giaiotti, A. Manzato and F. Stel, 2003:
An interesting case of tornado in Friuli-Northeastern Italy,
Atmos. Res. 67-68, 3-21.

R. Bechini, D. Giaiotti, A. Manzato, F. Stel and S. Micheletti, 2001:
The June 4 th 1999 severe weather episode in San Quirino, Italy: a tornado event?,
Atmos. Res., 56, 213-232.

D. Giaiotti, A. Manzato, S. Micheletti, F. Stel, 2001:
The katabatic flows in the Julian Alps as a local magnification factor in thermal anomalies of Autumn-Winter 2000-2001.,
(poster abstract) MAP Newsletter, 15, 214.

G. Morgan, F. Stel, A. Manzato, E. Gianesini, A. Farre, M. Compassi, L. Fae, E. Dietrich, R. Fabbo, R. Bechini, and M. Bertato, 1998:
An update on the status of the Italo-Slovenian hail prevention project.,
Proceedings of the Symposium RADME98, Theoretical, Experimental and Operational Aspects of Radarmeteorology, Tor Vergata, University, Rome, 9-10 June, 239-243.

Not reviewed:

J.I. Yano, and A. Manzato, 2021: “Moisture control” of the precipitation: a probabilistic perspective, chapter in the book "Precipitation Science", Elsevier, ISBN: 9780128229736, pp 615-634.
A. Manzato, S. Micheletti and F. Pieri, 2013: Le nevicate sui monti del Friuli Venezia Giullia: Evoluzione degli spessori in funzione dell'altitudine , Meteorologica Anno XII n.2, Atti del XIII conferenza annuale UMFVG, ISSN 1827-3858, pp. 39-41.
A. Cicogna and A. Manzato, 2012: Stima dello stato del cielo mediante uso di misure di radiazione solare, Italian Journal of Agrometeorology, Atti del XV convegno AIAM, ISBN 978-88-555-3175-7, pp. 101-102.
A. Manzato and P. Antonelli, 2011: Forecasting thunderstorms on the Po Valley using sounding derived and satellite (Eumetsat IASI) derived indicies with Neural Networks, ECSS 2011 poster.
P. Antonelli, A. Manzato, S. Puca, F. Zauli, R. Garcia, R. Stuhlmann and R. Tjemkes, 2011: Evaluating atmospheric instability from high spectral resolution IR satellite observations, ECSS 2011 poster.
A. Manzato and A. Cicogna, 2009: La grandine nel 2008, Notiziario ERSA 2 del 2009, pag. 64-70.
A. Manzato and A. Cicogna, 2008: La grandine nel 2007, Notiziario ERSA 3 2008, pp. 82-86.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 2008: La grandine nel 2006, Notiziario ERSA 1 2008, pp. 66-69.
A. Cicogna, Manzato A., Stefanuto L., Salvador M., Nordio S., Pucillo A., Stel F., Giaiotti D., Centore M., Bradassi D., Gani M., Micheletti S., 2007: METEO.FVG. Un nuovo strumento per la diffusione delle informazioni meteoclimatiche, Italian Journal of Agrometeorology, AIAM Abstracts, suppl. al n.1 2007, pp. 16-17.
A. Manzato and F. Stel, 2007: La grandine nel 2005, Notiziario ERSA 3-4 2006, pp. 70-72.
A. Manzato and F. Stel, 2005: La grandine nel 2004, Notiziario ERSA giugno-agosto 2005, pp. 41-43.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 2004: La grandine nel 2003, Notiziario ERSA maggio-settembre 2004, pp. 55-56.
A. Manzato and F. Stel, 2003: La grandine nel 2002, Notiziario ERSA febbraio-marzo 2003, pp. 54-56.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 2002: La grandine nel 2001, Notiziario ERSA gennaio-aprile 2002, pp. 63-64.
A. Manzato and F. Stel, 2001: La grandine nel 2000, Notiziario ERSA luglio 2001, pp. 47-48.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 2000: La grandine nel 1999, Notiziario ERSA gennaio 2000, pp. 74-76.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 1999: La grandine nel 1998, Notiziario ERSA gennaio 1999, pp. 50-51.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 1998: Come si formano i temporali 2, Notiziario ERSA dicembre 1998, p. 60.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 1998: Come si formano i temporali 1, Notiziario ERSA ottobre 1998, pp. 57-58.
F. Stel and A. Manzato, 1998: La grandine del 1997, Notiziario ERSA febbraio 1998, pp. 45-48.
A. Manzato and F. Stel, 1997: La grandinata del 5 luglio 1997, Notiziario ERSA ottobre 1997, pp. 43-44.

Contro-reactionary lecture on sounding instability:

A. Manzato 2018 update: Analysis of the termodynamic profile of the atmosphere (30 MB)

A. Manzato 2017: Analysis of the termodynamic profile of the atmosphere (27 MB)

University lectures:

A. Manzato 2003: Considerazioni sul profilo verticale dell'atmosfera, part I (0.3 MB)

A. Manzato 2003: Considerazioni sul profilo verticale dell'atmosfera, part II (0.6 MB)

A. Manzato 2003: Considerazioni sul profilo verticale dell'atmosfera, part III (0.5 MB)

A. Manzato 2003: Considerazioni sul profilo verticale dell'atmosfera, part IV (0.7 MB)

dispense delle lezioni tenute al corso di Fisica Computazionale dell'Università di Udine, 57 pp.